Turnout, at a glance.

Source & record handling

The cleaned Brazos turnout CSV is dated October 28, 2026 in its filename. In Person Ballot provides the early-voting flag; Mail Ballot provides the mail flag. County Commissioner provides an explicit supplied jurisdiction assignment. No ballot event dates, verified reporting cutoff, or independent county roster was supplied.

County view: records labeled Brazos in the supplied County field. House District 14: that county subset with supplied Official State House District equal to 014. Commissioner views: that county subset with the corresponding County Commissioner label. These assignments have not been reconciled to a county roster. Other-county or missing-county rows remain excluded pending reconciliation.

Record universe: “All supplied records” includes unknown voting methods. Their turnout is not independently established. “EV / BBM flagged records” includes rows with exactly one affirmative EV or BBM flag. It does not add county-only voters.

Voting method: In Person Ballot maps to early voting (EV). Mail Ballot maps to mail (BBM). Missing or conflicting flags remain Unknown. All current assignments rely on the supplied file. A future unique exact voter-ID county match takes precedence; IDs are compared as trimmed strings with leading zeros preserved.

Modeled disposition thresholds

Hard Republican

Score > 0.749

Soft Republican

0.56 < score < 0.749

Swing Right

0.5000 < score < 0.56

Swing Left

0.44 < score < 0.5000

Swing Neutral

Score = 0.5000

Soft Democrat

0.249 < score < 0.44

Hard Democrat

Score < 0.249

Conservative includes every valid score above 0.5000. Liberal includes every valid score below 0.5000. These counts include disposition-boundary scores, even when the disposition chart leaves those scores unclassified.

Geography & percentages

Election precincts and commissioner precincts are different units. Commissioner membership follows the explicit supplied commissioner field. College Station uses X in the district chart’s CS CITY column. Bryan uses populated BRYAN SMD entries, with separate views for each district. Blank city entries exclude that chart precinct from the city even when its mailing address names the city.

Numeric precinct codes are matched after zero-padding; split codes such as 2-CS and 3-B remain distinct. A numbered precinct is never silently matched to a suffixed row. The literal city columns control membership, including where a suffix name might suggest something else. Chart codes with no supplied records have unknown turnout. Supplied codes absent from the chart remain unresolved and are excluded from city and SMD totals.

City maps show full matched election precinct shapes with the city outline as a reference. Bryan SMD maps show the election precincts assigned by the chart; no separate official SMD outline is claimed. Split precincts without their own usable geometry remain disclosed. Polygon overlap does not determine city membership.

House and commissioner maps retain their clipped jurisdiction portions and supplied assignment counts. Supplied commissioner assignments stay in the charts even when the map disagrees. Zero-intersection conflicts, missing polygons, and overlaps below 1 m² are disclosed separately and are not counted as reliable map placement. No record is moved to another jurisdiction to fit the map.

Percentages use every record in the selected view, universe, and precinct, including missing affinity. Gender percentages use the selected gender’s record count. The affinity gap is (conservative − liberal) ÷ selected records, expressed in percentage points. The five SMD subtotals reconcile to Bryan; do not add those subtotals again to the city total. County, city, House, and commissioner views overlap.